The Phillies are riding high after a productive trade deadline and another win over the Marlins. We’re targeting them again on Wednesday along with a futures bet on our favorite quarterback, Jalen Hurts.
Here are Section 215’s best Philadelphia betting picks for Wednesday.
Best Philly Betting Picks 8/2
Tyler Maher: Phillies Moneyline @ Marlins
Yesterday was a good day to be a Phillies fan. We added All-Star Michael Lorenzen to the rotation in the afternoon and beat the Marlins again at night, passing Miami for second place in the NL East.
Philly’s now won five of its last seven and is in a good spot to keep rolling with Zack Wheeler on the bump. The MLB leader in FIP (2.74) has been electric lately with just 2 earned runs allowed and a 19:2 K/BB ratio over his last two starts (both on the road). We’re 8-1 in his last nine starts, and the only game we lost was a 1-0 heartbreaker.
The Marlins, meanwhile, are trending in the wrong direction. They’re 9-17 since June 30 and have scored two runs or less in three of their last four games. Braxton Garrett’s been solid for them this year (5-3, 4.08 ERA), but it won’t matter if he doesn’t get any run support.
The Under is intriguing to me, but I’ll take Philadelphia to win outright. Garrett had a 5.92 ERA last month and has struggled against the Phillies in the past with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in four career starts against us. Back the team with the momentum and the better pitcher.
Jason Schandl: Nick Castellanos To Hit a Home Run
It’s not just the result of tonight’s Phillies-Marlins game that offers some nice betting value here. Miami’s offense is the biggest question mark in this spot, sure, but there’s also some room to cash in on Philadelphia’s bats, or at least one bat in particular.
Nick Castellanos has some long odds on hitting a home run tonight, but I really like his chances in this spot.
Castellanos has always been a guy with some pretty pronounced platoon splits, slugging .517 against southpaws versus .459 against right-handed pitching in his career.
He’s been inconsistent at times this season, but he still ranks well on the Statcast leaderboards (71st percentile in maximum exit velocity, 67th percentile in barrel rate), and he could take advantage of some weaknesses in Braxton Garrett’s game.
Garrett is having a solid season overall, but he’s allowing a 43.1% hard-hit rate, which jumps to 45.3% when we look at his splits against right-handed bats. He ranks just 9th percentile in average exit velocity allowed, and his xSLG (expected slugging percentage) allowed is also in the bottom fifth among qualifying pitchers.
Garrett is susceptible to power, and with Castellanos getting a 6-to-1 payout the odds are just too good to pass up.
Isaiah De Los Santos: Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop
There have been a few standouts from Eagles training camp so far, but one name is coming up more often than anyone else’s: Jalen Hurts. By all accounts, the upcoming fourth-year pro has been dazzling in early practices, showing major strides as a passer. He also hasn’t thrown an interception yet, which is impressive considering how many QBs turnovers we’re hearing about around the league.
Beat writer Eliot Shorr-Parks even said Hurts may be setting “the new standard” for quarterback play at training camp, bringing to mind the version of Carson Wentz that helped get Philly to a Super Bowl.
And you know what? I’m buying all the way into this hype. Hurts showcased his elite skill set last season, but he still has potential to improve as a passer. It’s possible he’s unearthed that and taken his passing game to the next level, which would lead to an even bigger performance than his MVP-worthy 2022 season.
With arguably the best offensive line in football protecting him and all of his favorite weapons returning (and even some new ones like D’Andre Swift), the ingredients are all here for Hurts to soar over his passing total in 2023. His line is currently set at 3,700.5 yards at DraftKings Sportsbook, and he already hit 3,701 last year. I’m backing this over right now before it increases.
To make things sweeter, if you bet $5 on Hurts at DraftKings you’ll unlock a guaranteed $150 bonus. As long as you sign up through the exclusive Section 215 link below you’ll get the bonus as soon as you place your bet — you don’t even need to wait to find out if you win or lose. And of course, you’ll get your usual cash winnings if Hurts exceeds his passing yards total. Sign up now to start building that bankroll for NFL season!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.