Section 215’s Best Philly Betting Picks for 7/24 (Fade Phillies in Tough Matchup)
By Tyler Maher
We’re into the dog days of summer with the end of July now in view, which means there’s not a lot going on in the sports world besides baseball. That will change soon enough, however, with the start of NFL training camps later this week.
For now, Philly fans still have plenty of betting options to choose from, including a pivotal interleague matchup for the Phillies tonight.
Here are our top Philly sports betting pick for Monday.
Best Philadelphia Betting Picks: July 24
Tyler Maher: Orioles Runline @ Phillies
After dropping four of their last five, the Phillies hope some home cooking can help them bounce back tonight. That won’t be easy against the red-hot Orioles, however, who roll into town after winning 12 of their last 15.
Philly’s looking for another solid start from Cristopher Sanchez, who’s allowed three runs or less in all seven of his outings this year. He’s still searching for his first win, however, despite a 3.06 ERA.
Meanwhile, Baltimore’s Dean Kremer is 10-4 in spite of his 4.80 ERA. The Orioles are 14-6 in his starts this year, including 11-3 since the beginning of May.
The Orioles have been tremendous on the road this season, going 31-18 overall and 35-12 on the runline. The Phillies, on the other hand, have struggled to cover at home and are just 14-31 against the spread at Citizens Bank Park.
Those trends are too difficult to ignore, so we recommend backing Baltimore on the runline.
Jason Schandl: Nationals Runline vs Rockies
Sticking in the NL East, it’s no secret that the Washington Nationals absolutely stink. But there’s a big difference between being a good real-world baseball team and being a good team to bet on.
In part because you’re often getting such long odds on them, the Nationals have been one of the MLB’s best teams to bet on the runline this season, covering the spread at the fourth-highest rate among all teams (56.6%).
The Rockies, on the other hand, have been one of the worst at covering the spread (47.5%, T23).
It’s not often you’re going to see Washington as favorites, but that should tell you something about just how bad this Colorado team has been. Patrick Corbin is having a rough year on the mound (again), but the Rockies have been so hilariously bad against lefties that it doesn’t matter.
Against southpaws, they: strike out at the MLB’s highest rate (26.9%), walk at the lowest rate (6.7%), have the lowest on-base percentage (.289) and have the worst wRC+ (69). For context, nobody else has a wRC+ worse than even 85 against left-handers.
Let’s count on those runline trends to continue in tonight’s toilet bowl matchup.
If you’re in need of a sportsbook for tonight’s action, here are some of the best ones in the industry worth checking out:
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.